It’s been 40 years since a Republican carried New York state in a presidential election.
President Ronald Reagan was the last GOP standard-bearer to do it – as he won the state by eight points in his 1984 landslide White House re-election.
But a new poll suggests that former President Trump is down by only single digits to President Biden in New York – a state Biden carried by 23 points four years ago in his White House election victory over Trump.
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President Biden and former President Trump (AP Photo/Julia Nikhinson and Evan Vucci)
The Democratic incumbent in the White House leads his Republican predecessor 47%-39% among registered voters in New York State questioned in a Siena College poll that was released on Thursday.
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The survey indicates that Biden’s lead has inched down from 10 points in April and 9 points in May.
President Biden speaks during a campaign event in Philadelphia on May 29, 2024. (Mandel Ngan/AFP via Getty Images)
“While Biden maintains the support of three-quarters of Democrats, Trump has support from 85% of Republicans and leads Biden 45-28% with independents,” Siena College pollster Steven Greenberg said.
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“A gender gap has reopened as men support Trump 46-42% and women favor Biden 51-33%. White voters are evenly divided. And while Biden has a commanding lead with non-White voters, Trump garners support from 29% of Black and 26% of Latino voters,” Greenberg added.
Former President Donald Trump walks to the podium at a campaign event Tuesday, June 18, 2024, in Racine, Wisconsin. (AP Photo/Jeffrey Phelps)
Biden’s approval rating as president stands at 45%-53% in the survey. And his favorability rating – at 42% favorable and 53% unfavorable – is the lowest ever among New Yorkers in Siena College polling.
Trump’s favorability rating is even lower among voters in his native state. The former president stands at 37% favorable and 59% unfavorable.
The Siena College poll was conducted June 12-17, with 805 registered voters in New York state questioned. The overall sampling error is plus or minus 4.1 percentage points.